Chris Christie Holds Runaway Lead In NJ Gov’s Race [AUDIO]
With the special election for US Senate in New Jersey in the rearview mirror, Quinnipiac University is out with its newest poll today on the Gubernatorial Race and it still appears as though Gov. Chris Christie is a lock to beat Sen. Barbara Buono.
“Quinnipiac says Christie 62 percent, Buono 33 percent,” says Mickey Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “It’s a huge Christie lead. Whether it’ll be that huge on Election Day, you never know.”
The big lead for Christie comes with a warning from Carroll. He says blow-out polls tend to have a self-correcting factor so that the lead can shrink a bit on Election Day.
“In other words, for the guy who is supposed to be way, way ahead, his people say, ‘I could go shopping that day instead,’ and they don’t vote,” explains Carroll. “For the person who is way behind, her people say, ‘Well, I don’t want her to be humiliated,’ so they go out and vote.”
Only 5 percent of likely voters remain undecided and just six percent of those who chose a candidate say there’s a ‘good chance’ they will change their mind by Election Day.
“Their minds are pretty much made up,” says Carroll. “Unless some crazy thing happens and I suppose crazy things do happen, but I can’t imagine anything that would change these numbers dramatically……Gov. Christie was able to keep Mayor Cory Booker off the November ballot, and the governor certainly looks like a winner in his race against State Sen. Barbara Buono.”
The lead for Christie among men stands at 66 – 29 percent and it is 57 – 37 percent among women. White voters back the incumbent 67 – 29 percent while African-American voters support Buono 60 – 30 percent. Christie leads 92 – 6 percent among Republicans and 71 – 23 percent among independent voters, while Democrats favor Buono 66 – 30 percent.
Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,938 New Jersey likely voters from Oct. 10-14, with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points.